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Message from Germany to Master
France again behave friendly and Russia seems to go completely
against me. I can't do everything, so I'll move to build a defense line
against Turkey, but that would be my last move against Turkey,
unless both Russia and France would start playing against Turkey.
Message from Turkey to Master
I'm in Spain! I still can't believe it. If I guess right I can
get Spa or Mar this turn (Mar would be better because it's easier
to hold it). Let's take a look at the possible combinations:
If I order
LYO&WES S F Spa(sc), A Pie-Mar (T1)
then France must order
MAO&Por&Gas S A Mar-Spa, A Bur-Mar (F1)
If France orders (F1) I must order
Pie&Spa(sc) S F LYO-Mar, F WES S F Spa(sc) or (T2)
LYO&Pie S F Spa(sc)-Mar, F WES-MAO (T3)
If I order (T2) France must order
MAO&Por S Mar-Spa, A Bur S Gas-Mar or (F2a)
MAO&Gas S Por-Spa(sc), A Bur S A Mar or (F2b)
MAO&Por S Gas-Spa, A Bur S A Mar or (F2c)
Gas&Por S MAO-Spa(sc), A Bur S A Mar or (F2d)
If France orders (F2x) I must order (T1) or (T3)
If I order (T3) France must order
Bur&Gas S A Mar, MAO&Bur S Por-Spa(sc) or (F3a)
Bur&Gas S A Mar, Por&Bur S MAO-Spa(sc) or (F3b)
If France orders (F3x) I must order (T1) or (T2).
Summary: France orders => I should order
F1 => T2 or T3
F2x => T1 or T3
F3x => T1 or T2
This means that I have a 66% chance to get one of the centers if
I choose randomly. And even if I restrict my moves to (T2)
or (T3) - so that I may get Mar - I still have a 66% chance if
France chooses randomly, too, and at least a 50% chance otherwise.
I toss a toin between (T2) and (T3)... Tail. So I will choose T2.
The other moves are much simpler:
F Nap-Rom: to dislodge Rom (I need the fleets TYS and Nap if Spa
is destroyed).
F TYS S F Nap-Rom: necessary support for Nap.
A Boh-Mun: Bur is needed to get Spa back so I have a chance to get Mun.
A Tyr S A Boh-Mun: necessary support for Boh.
A Gal-Boh: to support Mun next turn - if I get it.
A Sev-Ukr: better chances to succeed than A Sev-Mos.
A Arm-Sev: try to get Sev (may bounce).
A Bul-Rum: to move to Gal next spring.
F Rum-BLA: to make place for Bul and support/convoy to Sev/rum next turn.
I think this is probably the most important turn until now. If I have luck
a solo is almost guaranteed.
France: Army Belgium SUPPORT German Army Ruhr
France: Army Burgundy → Marseilles (*bounce*)
France: Fleet English Channel → Irish Sea
France: Army Gascony SUPPORT Army Marseilles → Spain
France: Army Holland → Kiel
France: Army Marseilles → Spain
France: Fleet Mid-Atlantic Ocean → Western Mediterranean (*bounce*)
France: Fleet North Sea SUPPORT Russian Fleet Skagerrak → Denmark
France: Army Paris → Burgundy (*bounce*)
France: Fleet Portugal SUPPORT Army Marseilles → Spain
Germany: Fleet Denmark CONVOY Russian Army Sweden → St Petersburg (*dislodged*)
Germany: Fleet Kiel → Berlin
Germany: Army Munich SUPPORT Fleet Kiel → Berlin (*cut*)
Germany: Army Ruhr SUPPORT Army Munich
Italy: Fleet Rome → Tyrrhenian Sea (*bounce, dislodged*)
Russia: Fleet Gulf of Bothnia → Baltic Sea
Russia: Army Moscow → Warsaw (*bounce*)
Russia: Fleet Norway CONVOY French Army Burgundy → Munich
Russia: Army Silesia → Warsaw (*bounce*)
Russia: Fleet Skagerrak → Denmark
Russia: Army Sweden SUPPORT Fleet Skagerrak → Denmark
Turkey: Army Armenia → Sevastopol
Turkey: Army Bohemia → Munich (*bounce*)
Turkey: Army Bulgaria → Rumania
Turkey: Army Galicia → Bohemia (*bounce*)
Turkey: Fleet Gulf of Lyon → Marseilles
Turkey: Fleet Naples → Rome
Turkey: Army Piedmont SUPPORT Fleet Gulf of Lyon → Marseilles
Turkey: Fleet Rumania → Black Sea
Turkey: Army Sevastopol → Ukraine
Turkey: Fleet Spain (south coast) SUPPORT Fleet Gulf of Lyon → Marseilles (*dislodged*)
Turkey: Army Tyrolia SUPPORT Army Bohemia → Munich
Turkey: Fleet Tyrrhenian Sea SUPPORT Fleet Naples → Rome
Turkey: Fleet Western Mediterranean SUPPORT Fleet Spain (south coast) (*cut*)
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